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Source: MLB.com

Box-Toppers’ NL Division Series preview: Phillies vs. Braves, Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

Shawn Plank October 7, 2023

Both National League Division Series begin Saturday.

Saturday’s LDS pitching matchups

The Philadelphia Phillies face the Atlanta Braves in one best-of-five game series and the Arizona Diamondbacks face the Los Angeles Dodgers in the other. The top two NL seeds, the Braves (first) and the Dodgers (second) received byes from the first round of playoffs and face the winners of the best-of-three Wild Card series played this week.

NL Division Series, Game 1: Phillies at Braves

The Braves lead all NL teams in Box-Toppers team rankings (second overall), while the Phillies rank fourth among NL teams, ninth overall.

Braves players accumulated 125.4 Box-Toppers points in 2023, picking up 6.0 in the final 10 days of the season. They led NL teams for Box-Toppers’ final nine weekly team ranking reports, but never held the overall lead in 2023, finishing the season in second place behind the Texas Rangers (128.1 points).

The Phillies had 112.2 Box-Toppers points in 2023, finishing the final 10 days of the season with 5.3 points and defeating the Miami Marlins in the NL Wild Card Series to advance to face the Braves.

The Braves are the top AL seed in the postseason while the Phillies are the fourth seed.

The pitching matchup Saturday

Phillies—Ranger Suarez, 3.7 Box-Toppers points in 2023, 275th overall, 83rd among NL pitchers.

Braves—Spencer Strider, 21.1 Box-Toppers points in 2023, first overall, first among NL pitchers.

A look at all four of Saturday’s Division Series pitching matchups

Key Phillies players

The Phillies used their top two players in the Wild Card Series:

  • Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler, 14.7 Box-Toppers points, 11th among all players, fifth among NL pitchers and first among Phillies players, who was Box-Toppers Player of the Game in their Game 1 win over the Marlins.

  • Starting pitcher Aaron Nola, 12.0 points, 27th overall, 12th among NL pitchers, who was Box-Toppers Player of the Game in their Game 2 win over the Marlins.

Other key Phillies pitchers include:

  • Michael Lorenzen, 8.7 points, 64th overall, 22nd among NL pitchers.

  • Taijuan Walker, 7.7 points, 79th overall, 27th among NL pitchers.

  • Matt Strahm, 5.0 points, 178th overall, 56th among NL pitchers.

Key Phillies batters include:

  • Outfielder Nick Castellanos, 7.0 points, 110th overall, 15th among NL batters, first among Phillies batters.

  • Infielder Alec Bohm, 6.4 points, 126th overall, 19th among NL batters.

  • Outfielder/designated hitter Kyle Schwarber, 5.5 points, 157th overall, 27th among NL batters.

  • Shortstop Trea Turner, 5.0 points, 182nd overall, 39th among NL batters.

Other key Phillies include closer Craig Kimbrel (4.0 points), designated hitter/first baseman Bryce Harper (3.0 points) and catcher J.T. Realmuto (2.5 points).

Key Braves players

Game 1 starter Spencer Strider led all players in 2023 Box-Toppers points with 21.1. Braves’ top batter, right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr., led NL batters near the end of the season, but finished second in the category (and 41st overall) with 10.7 points, behind Pete Alonso of the Mets (12.0).

Other key Braves pitchers include:

  • Starter Charlie Morton, 10.0 Box-Toppers points, 49th overall, 19th among NL pitchers.

  • Starter Max Fried, 9.0 points, 58th overall, 21st among NL pitchers.

  • Starter Bryce Elder, 8.0 points, 75th overall, 25th among NL pitchers.

  • Reliever Michael Tonkin, 6.0 points, 141st overall, 42nd among NL pitchers.

Other key Braves batters include:

  • Designated hitter Marcell Ozuna, 7.5 points, 90th overall, 12th among NL batters.

  • Left fielder Eddie Rosario, 6.2 points, 129th overall, 20th among NL batters.

  • Center fielder Michael Harris II, 5.5 points, 158th overall, 25th among NL batters.

Other key Braves players include first baseman Matt Olson (4.2 points), catcher Sean Murphy (4.0 points) shortstop Orlando Arcia (4.0 points), catcher Travis d'Arnaud (3.5 points), third baseman Austin Riley (3.0 points) and second baseman Ozzie Albies (2.0 points).

The Box-Toppers point totals of all players on the teams’ active rosters at season’s end are here. Players who did not earn Box-Toppers points in 2023 are not listed. Players who earned points in 2023 are listed even if they are not on the roster for the upcoming postseason series due to injury or for other reasons.

Phillies vs. Braves

Here are players for both teams in the NL Divisional Series beginning Saturday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2023. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters. Players not listed earned no Box-Toppers points in 2023.

Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
Wheeler, Zack 3204 pi sp 14.7 Strider, Spencer 4626 pi sp 21.1
Nola, Aaron 3569 pi sp 12.0 Acuna, Ronald Jr. 3947 rf 10.7
Lorenzen, Michael 3479 pi sp 8.7 Morton, Charlie 2503 pi sp 10.0
Walker, Taijuan 3453 pi sp 7.7 Fried, Max 4011 pi sp 9.0
Castellanos, Nick 3349 rf 7.0 Elder, Bryce 4709 pi sp 8.0
Bohm, Alec 4309 3b 1b dh 6.4 Ozuna, Marcell 3190 dh 7.5
Schwarber, Kyle 3536 dh lf 5.5 Rosario, Eddie 3542 lf 6.2
Strahm, Matt 3724 pi sp 5.0 Tonkin, Michael 3615 pi mr 6.0
Turner, Trea 3730 ss 5.0 Harris, Michael 4682 cf 5.5
Kimbrel, Craig 2825 pi cp 4.0 Olson, Matt 3836 1b 4.2
Sanchez, Cristopher 4850 pi sp 4.0 Murphy, Sean 4246 ca 4.0
Suarez, Ranger 4228 pi sp 3.7 Arcia, Orlando 3717 ss 4.0
Harper, Bryce 3011 dh 1b 3.0 d’Arnaud, Travis 3384 ca dh 3.5
Stott, Bryson 4607 2b 3.0 Riley, Austin 4144 3b 3.0
Hoffman, Jeff 3806 pi mr cp 3.0 McHugh, Collin 3316 pi mr 3.0
Rojas, Johan 4873 cf 3.0 Iglesias, Raisel 3467 pi cp 3.0
Realmuto, J.T. 3491 ca 2.5 Minter, A.J. 3946 pi cp 3.0
Dominguez, Seranthony 3968 pi cp mr 2.0 Albies, Ozzie 3953 2b 2.0
Marsh, Brandon 4670 lf cf ph 2.0 Winans, Allan 4900 pi sp 2.0
Sosa, Edmundo 4495 3b ss ph 2.0 Shuster, Jared 4816 pi sp 1.7
Marte, Yunior 4854 pi cp 2.0 Hand, Brad 2907 pi mr cp 1.0
Soto, Gregory 4371 pi cp 1.0 Allard, Kolby 4232 pi sp mr 1.0
Castro Rodolfo 4475 ss 3b dh 1.0 Lopez, Nicky 4224 ss 2b 1.0
Nelson, Nick 4279 pi mr 1.0 Anderson, Nick 4145 pi mr cp 1.0
Alvarado, Jose 3797 pi cp 1.0 Yates, Kirby 3628 pi mr cp 1.0
Brogdon, Connor 4465 pi mr 1.0 Chirinos, Yonny 4039 pi sp 1.0
Pache, Cristian 4872 cf ph 1.0 Smith-Shawver, AJ 4951 pi sp 1.0
Vines, Darius 4919 pi sp 1.0
Totals 112.2 Totals 125.4
What are those numbers after players' names?

NL Division Series, Game 1: Diamondbacks at Dodgers

The Dodgers rank third in Box-Toppers team rankings, second among AL teams (123.8 Box-Toppers points), while the Diamondbacks rank 14th, seventh among NL teams and lowest among all 12 postseason qualifiers (102.1 points).

The Diamondbacks swept the best-of-three-game NL Wild Card series against the Milwaukee Brewers to advance to the NL Division Series.

The Dodgers are the second-seeded NL team in the playoffs while the Diamondbacks are the sixth seed.

The pitching matchup Saturday

Diamondbacks—Merrill Kelly, 13.0 points, 18th overall, seventh among NL pitchers.

Dodgers—Clayton Kershaw, 11.1 Box-Toppers points in 2023, 33rd among all players, 14th among NL pitchers.

A look at all four of Saturday’s Division Series pitching matchups

Key Diamondbacks players

Other notable Diamondbacks pitchers include:

  • Starter Zac Gallen, 16.7 points, eighth overall, fourth among NL pitchers.

  • Starter Ryne Nelson, 6.7 points, 117th overall, 39th among NL pitchers.

  • Reliever Kevin Ginkel, 6.0 points, 143rd overall, 44th among NL pitchers.

  • Starter Brandon Pfaadt, 3.7 Box-Toppers points in 2023, 282nd among all players, 88th among NL pitchers.

Diamondbacks key batters include:

  • First baseman Christian Walker, 6.0 points, 133rd overall, 21st among NL batters.

  • Second baseman Ketel Marte, 4.5 points, 210th overall, 45th among NL batters.

Other key Diamondbacks players include closer Paul Sewald (5.0 points), outfielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (4.0 points), outfielder Corbin Carroll (3.0 points) and third baseman Evan Longoria (2.7 points).

Carroll was Box-Toppers Player of the Game in the Wild Card Game 1 win over the Brewers. Sewald was Box-Toppers Player of the Game in the Wild Card Game 2 win over the Brewers.

Key Dodgers players

Five of the top 17 NL batters in 2023 Box-Toppers points are @Dodgers:
3—Freddie Freeman 10.0 B-T points
7—James Outman 8.7
8—Mookie Betts 8.5
13—Jason Heyward 7.5
17—J.D. Martinez 6.7#NLDS previews—https://t.co/NxQK35jr7r

— Box-Toppers (@BoxToppers) October 7, 2023

One of the Dodgers most key players in 2023, starting pitcher Julio Urías, will not participate in the postseason because he was placed on a administrative leave under baseball’s domestic violence policy after being arrested on felony charges of domestic violence in early September.

Urias earned 11.0 Box-Toppers points in 2023, 36th among all players, 16th among NL pitchers and second among all Dodgers players, just 0.1 points behind Kershaw, who passed him for the Dodger lead Sept. 23.

Urias was even better in both 2021 and 2022. He earned 19.1 points in 2021, fourth overall and third among NL pitchers. In 2022, he earned 19.4 points, seventh overall and fourth among NL pitchers.

Despite being placed on leave, Urias’s 11.0 Box-Toppers points still count toward the Dodgers’ overall 123.8 point total, the same as any injured player’s points would still count toward the team total.

Other notable Dodgers pitchers include:

  • Starter Bobby Miller, 8.7 points, 70th overall, 24th among NL pitchers.

  • Reliever Ryan Pepiot, 5.0 points, 175th overall, 55th among NL pitchers.

  • Starter Tony Gonsolin, 4.7 points, 187th overall, 58th among NL pitchers.

  • Starter Lance Lynn, 4.7 points, 188th overall, 59th among NL pitchers.

  • Starter Emmet Sheehan, 4.7 points, 200th overall, 63rd among NL pitchers.

On a team historically known for its strong pitching, this season Dodgers batters were more often the team mainstay. Among the top 17 NL batters in 2023 Box-Toppers points, five of them are Dodgers:

  • First baseman Freddie Freeman, 10.0 points, 50th overall, third among NL batters.

  • Center fielder James Outman, 8.7 points, 67th overall, seventh among NL batters.

  • Right fielder/second baseman Mookie Betts, 8.5 points, 72nd overall, eighth among NL batters.

  • Outfielder Jason Heyward, 7.5 points, 92nd overall, 13th among NL batters.

  • Designated hitter J.D. Martinez, 6.7 points, 116th overall, 17th among NL batters.

Other notable Dodgers include third baseman Max Muncy (5.0 points), shortstop Amed Rosario (4.0 points) and infielder Chris Taylor (4.0 points).

The Box-Toppers point totals of all players on the teams’ active rosters at season’s end are here. Players who did not earn Box-Toppers points in 2023 are not listed. Players who earned points in 2023 are listed even if they are not on the roster for the upcoming postseason series due to injury or for other reasons.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

Here are players for both teams in the NL Divisional Series beginning Saturday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2023. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters. Players not listed earned no Box-Toppers points in 2023.

Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
Gallen, Zac 4171 pi sp 16.7 Kershaw, Clayton 2494 pi sp 11.1
Kelly, Merrill 4143 pi sp 13.0 Urias, Julio 3652 pi sp 11.0
Nelson, Ryne 4728 pi sp 6.7 Freeman, Freddie 2887 1b 10.0
Walker, Christian 3958 1b 6.0 Outman, James 4699 cf 8.7
Ginkel, Kevin 4830 pi mr cp 6.0 Miller, Bobby 4820 pi sp 8.7
Sewald, Paul 3940 pi cp 5.0 Betts, Mookie 3404 rf 2b 8.5
Marte, Ketel 3630 2b 4.5 Heyward, Jason 2695 rf cf 7.5
Gurriel, Lourdes Jr. 4148 lf 4.0 Martinez, J.D. 2922 dh 6.7
Henry, Tommy 4829 pi sp 3.7 Muncy, Max 3969 3b 5.0
McGough, Scott 4857 pi cp 3.7 Pepiot, Ryan 4714 pi mr sp 5.0
Pfaadt, Brandon 4812 pi sp 3.7 Gonsolin, Tony 4211 pi sp 4.7
Perdomo, Geraldo 4601 ss 3b 3.5 Lynn, Lance 2992 pi sp 4.7
Carroll, Corbin 4818 rf lf 3.0 Sheehan, Emmet 4886 pi sp 4.7
Longoria, Evan 2423 3b dh 2.7 Rosario, Amed 3879 ss 4.0
Jameson, Drey 4742 pi sp mr 2.7 Taylor, Chris 3684 3b ss lf 4.0
Fletcher, Dominic 4810 cf rf 2.7 May, Dustin 4214 pi sp 3.0
Pham, Thomas 3596 dh lf rf 2.5 Peralta, David 3370 dh lf 3.0
Smith, Pavin 4427 dh rf 1b 2.0 Yarbrough, Ryan 3962 pi sp mr 3.0
Moreno, Gabriel 4781 ca 2.0 Hernandez, Enrique 3541 ss cf 2b 1.5
Peterson, Jace 3469 2b 3b 1.5 Smith, Will 4175 ca dh 1.0
Lewis, Kyle 4301 cf ph 1.5 Rojas, Miguel 3642 ss 1.0
Strzelecki, Peter 4733 pi mr 1.0 Graterol, Brusdar 4249 pi sp mr 1.0
Ruiz, Jose 4185 pi mr cp 1.0 Ferguson, Caleb 4006 pi mr 1.0
Castro, Miguel 3893 pi cp 1.0 Almonte, Yency 4333 pi mr 1.0
Cecconi, Slade 4913 pi sp 1.0 Barnes, Austin 3856 ca 1.0
Zavala, Seby 4867 ca 1.0 Grove, Michael 4774 pi sp 1.0
Phillips, Evan 4930 pi cp 1.0
Stone, Gavin 4942 pi cp 1.0
Totals 102.1 Totals 123.8
What are those numbers after players' names?

About Box-Toppers

Box-Toppers tracks who most helps their team win the most games. Using standard box score statistics, Box-Toppers uses a simple formula to determine a Player of the Game for each Major League Baseball game played. That player is the person who contributed most to his team’s win. In regular season games, players earn 1.0 Box-Toppers point for being named Player of the Game and can earn bonus points for being Player of the Day or top player or batter in their league for the day.

Box-Toppers strives for accuracy. See a mistake in a post? A wrong name, wrong team, grammar error, spelling goof, etc.? Thanks for pointing it out! Contact Box-Toppers here. Let's fix it and make it right.

For additional updates, follow Box-Toppers on Twitter.

Related

Box-Toppers 2023 player rankings leaders

Box-Toppers 2023 final team rankings

Previews of all four Wild Card series

Previews of 2023 American League Division Series

A Box-Toppers look at Saturday’s Division Series round pitching matchups

A Box-Toppers look at the upcoming day’s probable pitching matchups. Teams are paired below with visiting teams on top and home teams on the bottom. Each team’s starting pitcher is shown with their Box-Toppers point total from 2023 (’23), over a two-year period (’22-23), over a six-year period (’18-23) and their career point total.
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Game Starter ’23 ’22‑23 ’18‑23 Career
TEX Heaney, Andrew 3515 11.4 19.4 42.5 47.5
BAL Bradish, Kyle 4597 14.0 20.0 20.0 20.0
MIN Ober, Bailey 4441 8.7 11.7 18.4 18.4
HOU Verlander, Justin 2112 12.4 38.4 91.0 245.0
PHI Suarez, Ranger 4228 3.7 8.7 18.7 18.7
ATL Strider, Spencer 4626 21.1 34.5 34.5 34.5
ARI Kelly, Merrill 4143 13.0 24.0 39.0 39.0
LAD Kershaw, Clayton 2494 11.1 21.8 63.6 270.4
Starters subject to change.
* Player has yet to earn Box-Toppers points.
What are those numbers after players' names?
Chart is sortable. Click a column header to re-sort the chart by the values in that column. Refresh page to restore chart to default, game-by-game view.
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TagsPlayoff preview, Postseason, League Division Series, Philadelphia Phillies, Atlanta Braves, Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers, Miami Marlins, Ranger Suarez, Spencer Strider, Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, Michael Lorenzen, Taijuan Walker, Matt Strahm, Nick Castellanos, Alec Bohm, Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, Craig Kimbrel, Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto, Ronald Acuña Jr., Pete Alonso, Charlie Morton, Max Fried, Bryce Elder, Michael Tonkin, Marcell Ozuna, Eddie Rosario, Michael Harris, Matt Olson, Sean Murphy, Orlando Arcia, Travis d'Arnaud, Austin Riley, Ozzie Albies, Milwaukee Brewers, Merrill Kelly, Clayton Kershaw, Zac Gallen, Ryne Nelson, Kevin Ginkel, Brandon Pfaadt, Christian Walker, Ketel Marte, Paul Sewald, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Corbin Carroll, Evan Longoria, Julio Urias, Bobby Miller, Ryan Pepiot, Tony Gonsolin, Lance Lynn, Emmet Sheehan, Freddie Freeman, James Outman, Mookie Betts, Jason Heyward, J.D. Martinez, Max Muncy, Amed Rosario, Chris Taylor
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Box-Toppers

Tracking who most helps their teams win the most games, based on box score stats. A method to measure & compare baseball's top players.

Box-Toppers tracks who most helps their team win the most games. Using standard box score statistics, Box-Toppers uses a simple formula to determine a Player of the Game for each Major League Baseball game played. That player is the person who contributed most to his team’s win. Players earn Box-Toppers points for being named Player of the Game and can earn bonus points for being Player of the Day or top player or batter in their league for the day.

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