Box-Toppers’ AL Division Series previews: Guardians vs. Yankees, Mariners vs. Astros

Both American League Division Series begin Tuesday.

The Houston Astros face the Seattle Mariners in one best-of-five game series and the New York Yankees face the Cleveland Guardians in the other. The top two AL seeds, the Astros (first) and the Yankees (second) received byes from the first round of playoffs and face the winners of the best-of-three Wild Card series played over the weekend.

AL Division Series, Game 1: Mariners at Astros

The Astros rank second in Box-Toppers team rankings, first among AL teams (131.4 Box-Toppers points), while the Mariners rank seventh (114.9 points).

The Astros led AL teams in Box-Toppers rankings for six of the past eight weeks and for the past four consecutive weeks after passing the New York Yankees, who held a dominant lead among all teams from mid-May to early August. The Astros rank second among all teams to the Los Angeles Dodgers (133.1), though the gap between them shrunk from 6.7 points on Aug. 25 to just 1.7 points to close the season.

The Astros finished the season as one of baseball’s hottest teams, picking up 6.0 Box-Toppers points in the final week.

The Mariners also finished the season strong, picking up 5.5 points in the final week of the season. They were the fifth-seeded AL Wild Card team, yet swept the fourth-seed AL Wild Card Blue Jays in two games in Toronto. Though the Mariners were the lower seed, they ranked ahead of the Blue Jays in Box-Toppers points (114.9, seventh among all teams vs. 113.4, ninth among all teams).

The Mariners Box-Toppers point total in team rankings (114.7) varies slightly from the chart below which shows the Box-Toppers total of all Mariners players (113.9) because the team made roster moves after the close of the season but prior to the start of postseason games.

The pitching matchup Tuesday:

Mariners—Logan Gilbert, 14.1 Box-Toppers points in 2022, 25th among all players, 12th among AL pitchers.

Astros—Justin Verlander, 26.0 Box-Toppers points in 2022, first among all players, first among AL pitchers.

A look at all four of Tuesday’s Division Series pitching matchups

Other notable Mariners pitchers include:

Mariners top batters include:

Other notable Astros pitchers include:

Astros top batters include:

  • Designated hitter Yordan Alvarez, 8.7 points, 70th overall, third among AL batters.

  • Third baseman Alex Bregman, 8.7 points, 71st overall, fourth among AL batters.

  • Right fielder Kyle Tucker, 4.5 points, 205th overall, 34th among AL batters.

The Box-Toppers point totals of all players on the teams’ active rosters at season’s end are below. Players who did not earn Box-Toppers points in 2022 are not listed. Players who earned points in 2022 are listed even if they are not on the roster for the upcoming postseason series due to injury or for other reasons.

Mariners vs. Astros

Here are players for both teams in the AL Divisional Series beginning Tuesday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2022. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters. Players not listed earned no Box-Toppers points in 2022.

Seattle Mariners Houston Astros
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
Ray, Robbie 3502 pi sp 14.4 Verlander, Justin 2112 pi sp 26.0
Gilbert, Logan 4439 pi sp 14.1 Valdez, Framber 4048 pi sp 16.0
Kirby, George 4595 pi sp 11.4 Javier, Cristian 4290 pi sp 15.7
Castillo, Luis Miguel 3840 pi sp 10.0 Garcia, Luis 4423 pi sp 9.7
Suarez, Eugenio 3355 3b 8.0 Alvarez, Yordan 4209 dh 8.7
Raleigh, Cal 4481 ca ph 7.5 Bregman, Alex 3721 3b 8.7
Rodriguez, Julio 4590 cf 7.5 Urquidy, Jose 4194 pi sp 8.0
France, Ty 4243 1b 7.0 Pressly, Ryan 3186 pi cp 6.0
Santana, Carlos 2757 1b 4.5 McCullers, Lance 3488 pi sp 5.4
Haggerty, Sam 4672 rf lf cf ph 4.0 Tucker, Kyle 4277 rf 4.5
Gonzales, Marco 3408 pi sp 3.0 Altuve, Jose 3007 2b 4.0
Sewald, Paul 3940 pi mr cp 3.0 Maldonado, Martin 3082 ca 2.7
Casali, Curt 3524 ca 2.5 Mancini, Trey 3766 dh 2.5
Flexen, Chris 4368 pi sp 2.0 Diaz, Aledmys 3612 3b lf 2.5
Crawford, J.P. 3937 ss 2.0 Brantley, Michael 2785 lf dh 2.0
Toro, Abraham 4447 rf 2b 3b ph 2.0 Smith, Will 3073 pi cp 1.0
Castillo, Diego 3995 pi cp mr 2.0 Neris, Hector 3553 pi mr cp 1.0
Munoz, Andres 4222 pi mr cp 2.0 McCormick, Chas 4444 rf 1.0
Haniger, Mitch 3772 rf 1.5 Dubon, Mauricio 4243 ss 1.0
Moore, Dylan 4289 ss 2b lf ph 1.5 Montero, Rafael 3410 pi cp sp 1.0
Winker, Jesse 3988 lf 1.0 Abreu, Bryan 4663 pi mr 1.0
Kelenic, Jarred 4408 lf cf 1.0 Brown, Hunter 4729 pi sp 1.0
Borucki, Ryan 4034 pi cp mr 1.0 Martinez, Seth 4678 pi mr 1.0
Frazier, Adam 3771 2b 1.0 Matijevic, J.J. 4693 ph 1.0
Festa, Matt 4692 pi cp 1.0
Totals 113.9 Totals 131.4
What are those numbers after players' names?

AL Division Series, Game 1: Guardians at Yankees

The Yankees rank fourth in Box-Toppers team rankings, second among AL teams (125.9 Box-Toppers points), while the Guardians rank 12th (105.5 points).

The Yankees led AL teams in Box-Toppers rankings for 12 straight weeks from mid-May to mid-August, before being overtaken by the Astros for top AL team in six of the final eight weeks of the season. The Yankees even led all teams for eight straight weeks from early June to early August, building the biggest lead of any team this season over a second-placed team (+13.7) on June 30, when they had 72.1 points and the then-second-place Milwaukee Brewers had 58.4. (The Brewers finished 10th overall with 107.7 points and did not qualify for postseason play.)

The Guardians seemed a team likely to finish in the middle of the AL Central most of the season, falling outside of playoff contention. But they finished the regular season winning 24 of their final 29 games from Sept. 5 to Oct. 5. Despite the winning streak, they didn’t greatly improve their Box-Toppers team ranking—on Sept. 1, they ranked 14th, fell to 16th on Sept. 8 and finished in 12th. In fact, they ended up finishing just behind another AL Central team in Box-Toppers rankings—the Minnesota Twins, 11th with 105.6 points—despite finishing 14 games ahead of the Twins in the division.

The Guardians won the best-of-three-game AL Wild Card series against the Tampa Bay Rays to advance to the AL Division Series.

The pitching matchup Tuesday:

Guardians—Cal Quantrill, 6.0 Box-Toppers points in 2022, 125th overall, 47th among AL pitchers.

Yankees—Gerrit Cole, 15.4 Box-Toppers points in 2022, 17th among all players, eighth among AL pitchers.

A look at all four of Tuesday’s Division Series pitching matchups

Other notable Guardians pitchers include:

Guardians notable batters include:

  • Third baseman Jose Ramirez, 11.7 points, 36th overall, second among AL batters.

  • Shortstop Amed Rosario, 6.0 points, 130th overall, 18th among AL batters.

  • Left fielder Steven Kwan, 5.0 points, 191st overall, 32nd among AL batters.

Other notable Yankees pitchers include:

Notable Yankees batters include:

  • Outfielder Aaron Judge, 13.2 points, 28th overall, first among AL batters.

  • Designated hitter Giancarlo Stanton, 5.5 points, 149th overall, 20th among AL batters.

  • Third baseman Josh Donaldson, 5.0 points, 178th overall, 30th among AL batters.

The Box-Toppers point totals of all players on the teams’ active rosters at season’s end are below. Players who did not earn Box-Toppers points in 2022 are not listed. Players who earned points in 2022 are listed even if they are not on the roster for the upcoming postseason series due to injury or for other reasons.

About Box-Toppers—Box-Toppers tracks who most helps their team win the most games. Using standard box score statistics, Box-Toppers uses a simple formula to determine a Player of the Game for each Major League Baseball game played. That player is the person who contributed most to his team’s win. In regular season games, players earn 1.0 Box-Toppers point for being named Player of the Game and can earn bonus points for being Player of the Day or top player or batter in their league for the day.

Box-Toppers strives for accuracy. See a mistake in a post? A wrong name, wrong team, grammar error, spelling goof, etc.? Thanks for pointing it out! Contact Box-Toppers here. Let's fix it and make it right.

Related

Box-Toppers 2022 player rankings leaders

Box-Toppers 2022 final team rankings

Box-Toppers’ NL Division Series preview: Padres vs. Dodgers, Phillies vs. Braves

Box-Toppers’ Wild Card Series previews

Guardians vs. Yankees

Here are players for both teams in the AL Divisional Series beginning Tuesday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2022. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters. Players not listed earned no Box-Toppers points in 2022.

Cleveland Guardians New York Yankees
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
McKenzie, Triston 4303 pi sp 15.7 Cole, Gerrit 3232 pi sp 15.4
Bieber, Shane 4005 pi sp 13.7 Cortes, Nestor 4160 pi sp 15.4
Ramirez, Jose 3436 3b 11.7 Judge, Aaron 3767 cf rf 13.2
Quantrill, Cal 4195 pi sp 6.0 Taillon, Jameson 3658 pi sp 10.7
Rosario, Amed 3879 ss 6.0 Severino, Luis 3567 pi sp 6.7
Plesac, Zach 4168 pi sp 5.7 Stanton, Giancarlo 2737 dh 5.5
Civale, Aaron 4173 pi sp 5.0 Donaldson, Josh 3144 3b 5.0
Kwan, Steven 4573 lf 5.0 Montas, Frankie 3803 pi sp 4.7
Naylor, Josh 4154 1b 3.5 King, Michael 4549 pi mr cp 4.7
Gonzalez, Oscar 4734 rf 3.5 Carpenter, Matt 2987 3b 1b rf 4.5
Stephan, Trevor 4446 pi mr cp 3.0 Schmidt, Clarke 4581 pi mr sp cp 4.4
Gose, Anthony 3623 pi mr cp cf 3.0 Rizzo, Anthony 3063 1b 4.0
McCarty, Kirk 4696 pi mr 2.7 Holmes, Clay 4022 pi cp 4.0
Hedges, Austin 3790 ca 2.5 Torres, Gleyber 3972 2b 4.0
Jones, Nolan 4686 rf 2.5 Luetge, Lucas 3274 pi mr cp 3.7
Morgan, Eli 4497 pi mr sp 2.0 Trevino, Jose 4241 ca 2.5
Clase, Emmaniuel 4225 pi cp 2.0 Hicks, Aaron 3170 lf cf 2.5
Hentges, Sam 4406 pi sp 2.0 Chapman, Aroldis 2826 pi mr cp 2.0
Gimenez, Andres 4288 2b 2.0 Higashioka, Kyle 4505 ca 2.0
Pilkington, Konnor 4642 pi sp 2.0 Abreu, Albert 4583 pi mr cp 2.0
Shaw, Bryan 2995 pi mr cp 1.0 Weissert, Greg 4724 pi mr cp 2.0
Miller, Owen 4558 1b 2b 1.0 Green, Chad 3675 pi cp mr 1.0
Sandlin, Nick 4440 pi mr 1.0 German, Domingo 3957 pi sp 1.0
De Los Santos, Enyel 4737 pi mr 1.0 Benintendi, Andrew 3815 lf 1.0
Morris, Cody 4745 pi sp 1.0 Bader, Harrison 4071 cf 1.0
Palacios, Richie 4654 ph 1.0 Trivino, Lou 3939 pi cp 1.0
Shreve, Chasen 3482 pi mr 1.0
Cabrera, Oswaldo 4747 lf 1.0
Totals 105.5 Totals 125.9
What are those numbers after players' names?

A Box-Toppers look at Tuesday’s Division Series round pitching matchups

A Box-Toppers look at the upcoming day’s probable pitching matchups. Teams are paired below with visiting teams on top and home teams on the bottom. Each team’s starting pitcher is shown with their Box-Toppers point total from 2022 (’22), over a two-year period (’21-22), over a six-year period (’17-22) and their career point total.
Back to top

Game Starter ’22 ’21‑22 ’17‑22 Career
PHI Suarez, Ranger 4228 5.0 14.0 15.0 15.0
ATL Fried, Max 4011 16.0 27.8 44.5 44.5
SEA Gilbert, Logan 4493 14.1 21.1 21.1 21.1
HOU Verlander, Justin 2112 26.0 26.0 93.3 232.6
CLE Quantrill, Cal 4195 6.0 11.7 15.7 15.7
NYY Cole, Gerrit 3232 15.4 37.8 102.4 138.3
SD Clevinger, Mike 3707 6.4 6.4 50.9 53.9
LAD Urias, Julio 3625 19.4 38.5 46.5 52.2
Starters subject to change.
What are those numbers after players' names?
Chart is sortable. Click a column header to re-sort the chart by the values in that column. Refresh page to restore chart to default, game-by-game view.
Back to top