Box-Toppers’ picks for postseason awards include Shane Bieber, Trevor Bauer, Luke Voit

Box-Toppers postseason awards.png

Box-Toppers has cast votes for postseason honors for Shane Bieber, Luke Voit and for Trevor Bauer—twice.

Box-Toppers postseason honors ballot

Here is a look at the ballot selections Box-Toppers is making for the Internet Baseball Writers Association of America (IBWAA) 2020 postseason awards. The ballot requires votes out to 10 places for Most Valuable Player in both leagues, five for Cy Young Awards in each league and three for each leagues' Rookie of the Year, Manager of the Year and Reliever of the Year.

Players are shown with their team and their Box-Toppers point (BTP) total for 2020.

AL Most Valuable Player
Player Team BTP
1 Luke Voit Yankees 6.0
2 Shane Bieber Indians 11.4
3 Eloy Jimenez White Sox 5.5
4 Max Kepler Twins 5.0
5 Kyle Tucker Astros 5.0
6 Lance Lynn Rangers 9.1
7 Mike Trout Angels 4.5
8 Jose Abreu White Sox 4.5
9 Tim Anderson White Sox 4.5
10 Kenta Maeda Twins 8.4
NL Most Valuable Player
Player Team BTP
1 Trevor Bauer Reds 10.0
2 Yu Darvish Cubs 9.7
3 Marcell Ozuna Braves 4.5
4 Asdrubal Cabrera Nationals 4.5
5 Trent Grisham Padres 4.5
6 Dinelson Lamet Padres 9.0
7 Jacob deGrom Mets 8.7
8 Adam Duvall Braves 4.0
9 Darin Ruf Giants 4.0
10 Clayton Kershaw Dodgers 7.7
AL Cy Young
Player Team BTP
1 Shane Bieber Indians 11.4
2 Lance Lynn Rangers 9.1
3 Kenta Maeda Twins 8.4
4 Tyler Glasnow Rays 8.0
5 Gerrit Cole Yankees 7.4
NL Cy Young
Player Team BTP
1 Trevor Bauer Reds 10.0
2 Yu Darvish Cubs 9.7
3 Dinelson Lamet Padres 9.0
4 Jacob deGrom Mets 8.7
5 Clayton Kershaw Dodgers 7.7
AL Rookie of the Year
Player Team BTP
1 Jose Marmolejos Mariners 2.7
2 Jesus Luzardo Athletics 4.7
3 Evan White Mariners 2.0
NL Rookie of the Year
Player Team BTP
1 Josh Fuentes Rockies 2.0
2 Alec Bohm Phillies 2.0
3 Sixto Sanchez Marlins 3.0
AL Manager of the Year
Player Team Team BTP
1 Bob Melvin Athletics 45.2
2 Terry Francona Indians 45.0
3 Rocco Baldelli Twins 43.8
NL Manager of the Year
Player Team Team BTP
1 Dave Roberts Dodgers 52.8
2 Jayce Tingler Padres 48.0
3 David Ross Cubs 46.5
AL Reliever of the Year
Player Team BTP
1 Liam Hendriks Athletics 4.0
2 Matt Foster White Sox 4.0
3 Greg Holland Royals 3.0
NL Reliever of the Year
Player Team BTP
1 Trevor Rosenthal Padres 4.0
2 Daniel Bard Rockies 4.0
3 Freddy Peralta Brewers 2.0
Box-Toppers gives batters a generous, if somewhat arbitrary, benefit of the doubt in these rankings. In cases where batters are directly compared to pitchers, Box-Toppers ranks batters as if their season Box-Toppers point total were doubled. For example, in rankings for AL MVP, Luke Voit ranks first with 6.0 points even though several pitchers have more points (most notably, Shane Bieber of the Indians, ranked second in AL MVP voting with 11.4). Though Voit has fewer points than Bieber, Box-Toppers arbitrarily doubles batters point totals in figuring these rankings, which would give Voit 12.0 points, beating Bieber’s 11.4. While MVP is traditionally a batter's award, it has been awarded to pitchers either when they have a dominant season, no batters particularly rise to the occasion—or both.

I have cast my ballot in Internet Baseball Writers Association of America (IBWAA) voting for Reds pitcher Bauer to be both National League Cy Young Award winner and NL Most Valuable Player.

In addition to picking Bauer for both major NL postseason honors, Box-Toppers is selecting:

American League Cy Young Award—Shane Bieber of the Indians.

American League Most Valuable Player—Luke Voit of the Yankees.

American League Rookie of the Year—Jose Marmolejos of the Mariners.

National League Rookie of the Year—Josh Fuentes of the Rockies.

American League Manager of the Year—Bob Melvin of the Athletics.

National League Manager of the Year—Dave Roberts of the Dodgers.

American League Reliever of the Year—Liam Hendriks of the Athletics.

National League Reliever of the Year—Trevor Rosenthal of the Padres.

Bauer is my choice for NL Cy Young because he narrowly led NL pitchers in Box-Toppers points with 10.0, ahead of second-place Yu Darvish of the Cubs (9.7). However, any of the top four I picked for NL Cy Young could have passed Bauer with one more dominant performance–third-place Dinelson Lamet of the Padres (9.0) or Jacob deGrom of the Mets (8.7).

I pick Bauer for NL MVP because he had more than twice as many 2020 Box-Toppers points as the top NL batter Marcell Ozuna of the Braves (4.5). In fact, I place Ozuna third in NL MVP voting because he also had fewer than half as many points as Darvish (9.7).

The 2020 postseason award choices are hampered by the small sample size of information this pandemic-shortened season created. With only 60 games rather than the usual 162, there wasn’t enough data for any player to truly pull away from the pack and dominate in any voting category. Box-Toppers awards a single player in each game Player of the Game honors. Those top players can earn bonus points as top overall players or batters of a certain day. In most awards categories in 2020, there were a handful of players who could have overtaken the Box-Toppers points lead in their category by earning Player of the Game honors one more time.

Another factor hampering my awards choices is that batters, in recent years, have earned a far lower share of Box-Toppers points compared to pitchers. Prior to 2010, batters earned half or more of all points awarded, but since then, pitchers have dominated earning upwards of 60 percent of all points awarded. That continued even in the shortened 2020 season—pitchers won 58.0 percent of all 1,068.9 Box-Toppers points awarded, while batters won 42.0 percent.

This has resulted in top batters in the league often having fewer than half of the Box-Toppers points as the league’s top pitchers. This happened eight times in 12 chances from 2014-2019 after happening only twice in 38 chances from 1995-2013. With Ozuna having fewer than half the points of Bauer, it’s happening again in 2020.

Pitchers are eligible to win MVP awards and two have done so in the past 10 years—in 2011, Justin Verlander of the Tigers won AL MVP and in 2014, Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers won NL MVP.

Ozuna also led NL batters in 2019 Box-Toppers points with 12.0 when he was with the Cardinals. However, last year, we voted Ozuna NL MVP because he had more than half the Box-Toppers points of top NL pitcher Stephen Strasburg of the Nationals (20.7).

Here is a look at my other selections:

American League Most Valuable Player

Luke Voit, Yankees

Voit led all AL batters with 6.0 Box-Toppers points, 22nd among all players, just ahead of Eloy Jimenez of the White Sox (5.5). However, I place Jimenez in third place in AL MVP voting behind top AL pitcher Shane Bieber of the Indians, because Bieber had more than twice as many points as Jimenez. In fact, I place three pitchers among the top 10 in AL MVP voting.

American League Cy Young Award

Shane Bieber, Indians

Bieber is Box-Toppers 2020 Player of the Year, leading all players with 11.4 Box-Toppers points. He held a 2.3-point lead over second-place AL pitcher Lance Lynn (9.1).

Rookies of the Year

AL—Jose Marmolejos, Mariners

NL—Josh Fuentes, Rockies

Small sample size truly hampered this category as no leading candidate truly emerged. I pick first baseman and outfielder Marmolejos in the AL with just 2.7 Box-Toppers points. He had more than half as many points as the top AL rookie pitcher Jesus Luzardo of the Athletics (4.7). I pick first baseman Josh Fuentes of the Rockies in the AL with just 2.0 Box-Toppers points, edging out third baseman Alec Bohm of the Phillies, who also had 2.0 points, based on Fuentes having larger accumulated Box-Toppers game scores during his two Player of the Game honors. He also had more than half as many points as top NL rookie pitcher Sixto Sanchez of the Marlins (3.0).

Managers of the Year

AL—Bob Melvin, Athletics

NL—Dave Roberts, Dodgers

Our criteria for this award is straightforward. Which teams had the most Box-Toppers points. The Dodgers led all teams with 52.8 accumulated Box-Toppers points, so Roberts gets my NL vote. The Athletics led AL teams with 45.2 Box-Toppers points, fourth overall, and so Melvin gets my AL vote.

Relievers of the Year

AL—Liam Hendriks, Athletics

NL—Trevor Rosenthal, Padres

Again, with the short season, no single reliever dominated. We pick Hendriks in the AL with 4.0 Box-Toppers points, earning Player of the Game honors in four closing appearances. In the NL, we pick Rosenthal with 4.0 points, who also earned Player of the Game honors in four closing appearances. It should be noted that Rosenthal earned 2.0 points with the Royals in the AL prior to being traded to the Padres. In a normal year, I might count that against him and not vote him for the NL award since half his points were earned in the AL. But in this abnormal year of decreased points and increased interleague play blurring the distinctions between the leagues, I’m sticking with Rosenthal.

About Box-Toppers—Box-Toppers tracks who most helps their team win the most games. Using standard box score statistics, Box-Toppers uses a simple formula to determine a Player of the Game for each Major League Baseball game played. That player is the person who contributed most to his team’s win. In regular season games, players earn 1.0 Box-Toppers point for being named Player of the Game and can earn bonus points for being Player of the Day or top player or batter in their league for the day.

Box-Toppers strives for accuracy. See a mistake in a post? A wrong name, wrong team, grammar error, spelling goof, etc.? Thanks for pointing it out! Contact Box-Toppers here. Let's fix it and make it right.

Related

How Box-Toppers voted in 2019’s IBWAA postseason awards